Director’s films Shawn Levy The film, starring Ryan Reynolds and Hugh Jackman, is expected to gross between $160 million and $170 million in North America, which could make it the biggest opening ever for an R-rated movie, Deadline reports.
If it achieves this milestone, it will surpass the original Deadpool movie, which grossed $132.4 million.
Worldwide revenue is expected to be between $340 million and $360 million, with an impressive $180 million to $190 million coming from international markets.
These projections are slightly lower than Deadline’s original prediction of a domestic opening gross of more than $200 million, but the film could still achieve a $200 million+ opening overseas if advance sales prove unusually strong, and could very well open up to a $400 million+ global opening.
If these predictions prove correct, “Deadpool & Wolverine” would be the MCU’s third-highest-grossing opening since the COVID-19 pandemic, behind “Spider-Man: No Way Home,” which made $600 million, and “Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness,” which made $452 million.
Even if the film fails to achieve its projected numbers, Deadpool & Wolverine will still surpass Inside Out 2 as the highest-grossing film of 2024 with $154.2 million in revenue.
Only 17 films have grossed over $170 million in North America, all of which are rated PG-13. Of those films, 15 are reportedly Disney productions and 10 are MCU films, making Deadpool and The Wolverine the first R-rated films to reach that milestone.
Currently, Tom Holland’s Spider-Man: No Way Home leads the top five domestic box office grosses with $260.1 million, followed by Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness with $187.4 million, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever with $181.3 million, Barbie with $162 million, and Inside Out 2 rounding out the list with $154.2 million.
“Deadpool & Wolverine” opens in all international markets this week, opening in France, Germany, Italy, South Korea and Japan on Wednesday, Spain, Brazil, the UK, Mexico and Australia on Thursday, and China, India and other countries on Friday.
If the film makes an estimated minimum of $340 million, it will surpass other R-rated films such as “Deadpool,” which made $264 million, “Deadpool 2,” which made $263 million, and “Joker,” which rounds out the list with $243 million. However, unlike the other two Deadpool films, Todd Phillips starring Joaquin PhoenixIt became the first R-rated film to gross over $1 billion at the box office.
Deadpool & Wolverine – Official Trailer